IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.1	#206
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.0	#90
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.3%	16.8%	8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.5	14.3	15.1

.500 or above	44.7%	72.2%	41.3%
.500 or above in Conference	73.5%	83.6%	72.3%
Conference Champion	18.9%	31.1%	17.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

First Four	2.3%	2.3%	2.3%
First Round	8.2%	15.8%	7.2%
Second Round	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Neutral) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 4	12 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	50	Colorado	L	68-81	11%
Nov 27, 2020	144	Drake	L	73-77	34%
Dec 01, 2020	113	@ Nebraska	L	76-86	18%
Dec 05, 2020	275	@ UMKC	W	71-70	51%
Dec 10, 2020	248	North Dakota	W	78-76	59%
Dec 11, 2020	165	North Dakota St.	L	72-75	40%
Dec 12, 2020	100	South Dakota St.	L	74-82	25%
Dec 16, 2020	144	Drake	L	74-75	45%
Jan 02, 2021	305	Denver	W	82-74	76%
Jan 03, 2021	305	Denver	W	82-74	76%
Jan 08, 2021	275	@ UMKC	W	71-70	51%
Jan 09, 2021	275	@ UMKC	W	71-70	51%
Jan 22, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	84-77	72%
Jan 23, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	84-77	72%
Jan 29, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	79-77	57%
Jan 30, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	79-77	57%
Feb 05, 2021	100	@ South Dakota St.	L	73-84	18%
Feb 06, 2021	100	@ South Dakota St.	L	73-84	18%
Feb 12, 2021	248	@ North Dakota	L	77-78	48%
Feb 13, 2021	248	@ North Dakota	L	77-78	48%
Feb 20, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	W	81-80	53%
Feb 21, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	W	81-80	53%
Feb 27, 2021	165	North Dakota St.	W	74-73	51%
Feb 28, 2021	165	North Dakota St.	W	74-73	51%
Projected Record						11 - 13	10 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	1.4	3.3	4.6	4.2	3.1		16.9	1st
2nd										0.0	0.8	3.3	5.5	4.7	2.0	0.4	0.0		16.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	1.4	4.6	5.7	2.8	0.6	0.0				15.2	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.7	4.7	1.7	0.2						13.1	4th
5th						0.0	0.3	2.6	4.5	3.4	0.9	0.0							11.7	5th
6th					0.0	0.4	2.4	4.1	2.3	0.4	0.0								9.7	6th
7th				0.1	0.6	2.1	2.7	1.4	0.2										7.2	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.9	1.6	0.6	0.1											5.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0												2.2	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	3.0	4.3	6.0	8.4	8.9	10.0	10.9	10.9	9.8	8.6	6.6	4.6	3.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	99.4%	3.1		2.9	0.2
15-1	91.3%	4.2		3.4	0.8	0.0
14-2	69.6%	4.6		2.8	1.7	0.1
13-3	38.6%	3.3		1.5	1.4	0.4	0.0
12-4	14.5%	1.4		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1
11-5	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	16.9%	16.9		11.0	4.9	1.0	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	3.1%		33.2%	33.2%		14.0													0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.0	2.1
15-1	4.6%		29.2%	29.2%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	3.3
14-2	6.6%		20.6%	20.6%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	5.2
13-3	8.6%		15.8%	15.8%		15.3														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	7.3
12-4	9.8%		11.6%	11.6%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.7
11-5	10.9%		7.5%	7.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	10.1
10-6	10.9%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.5
9-7	10.0%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.7
8-8	8.9%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	8.7
7-9	8.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
6-10	6.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
5-11	4.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
4-12	3.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
3-13	1.6%																							1.6
2-14	0.8%																							0.8
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	15.1													0.1	0.5	1.4	2.5	3.8	91.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%